Blogroll Me! How This Old Brit Sees It ...: CIA and Iran - Nuke Nightmare Scenario ...

05 January 2006

CIA and Iran - Nuke Nightmare Scenario ...









Oh, my Gawd !

Good grief. It's almost beyond belief.

Who the hell in their wildest dreams and/or worst nightmares would have thought they would ever read such a headline as follows here ?

Quick -- go get a load of this from today's Guardian - 5th January 2006.

But first be sure you're seated, with your seat belt firmly fastened. And be sure to button up your overcoat because this could chill you to the bone.


George Bush insists that Iran must not be allowed to develop nuclear weapons.

So why, six years ago, did the CIA give the Iranians blueprints to build a bomb?

In an extract from his explosive new book, New York Times reporter James Risen reveals the bungles and miscalculations that led to a spectacular intelligence fiasco.


And here's a taste of what to expect from this 'bungle' of absolutely, bloody unimaginable importance and probably unparalleled significance. Not to mention the completely catastrophic possible consequences.

Mistake piled on mistake. As the CIA later learned, the Iranian who received the download was a double agent. The agent quickly turned the data over to Iranian security officials, and it enabled them to "roll up" the CIA's network throughout Iran.

CIA sources say that several of the Iranian agents were arrested and jailed, while the fates of some of the others is still unknown.

This espionage disaster, of course, was not reported. It left the CIA virtually blind in Iran, unable to provide any significant intelligence on one of the most critical issues facing the US - whether Tehran was about to go nuclear.

In fact, just as President Bush and his aides were making the case in 2004 and 2005 that Iran was moving rapidly to develop nuclear weapons, the American intelligence community found itself unable to provide the evidence to back up the administration's public arguments.

On the heels of the CIA's failure to provide accurate pre-war intelligence on Iraq's alleged weapons of mass destruction, the agency was once again clueless in the Middle East.

In the spring of 2005, in the wake of the CIA's Iranian disaster, Porter Goss, its new director, told President Bush in a White House briefing that the CIA really didn't know how close Iran was to becoming a nuclear power.

Okay. Right here & now is where the teasing stops. Prolonging the suspense any longer under such serious circumstances as this, could quite easily be classed as cruel and unusual punishment.

So here's your last lifted excerpt to look at.

But in previous cases, such Trojan horse operations involved conventional weapons; none of the former officials had ever heard of the CIA attempting to conduct this kind of high-risk operation with designs for a nuclear bomb.

The former officials also said these kind of programmes must be closely monitored by senior CIA managers in order to control the flow of information to the adversary. If mishandled, they could easily help an enemy accelerate its weapons development.

That may be what happened with Merlin.

Iran has spent nearly 20 years trying to develop nuclear weapons, and in the process has created a strong base of sophisticated scientists knowledgeable enough to spot flaws in nuclear blueprints.Tehran also obtained nuclear blueprints from the network of Pakistani scientist Abdul Qadeer Khan, and so already had workable blueprints against which to compare the designs obtained from the CIA.

Nuclear experts say that they would thus be able to extract valuable information from the blueprints while ignoring the flaws.

"If [the flaw] is bad enough," warned a nuclear weapons expert with the IAEA, "they will find it quite quickly. That would be my fear".
Run right on over now, via the link at the bottom, to read the rest.

Then when you have, ask yourself the question; Who's going to carry this can ? And maybe even more importantly, who should ?

Or to put it another way, where does the buck stop these days ?

http://www.guardian.co.uk/iran/story/0,12858,1678220,00.html


21 Comments:

Blogger Elaine Supkis said...

You know, Richard, I am so glad you cover this and other stories. There are so many stories happening these days, fast and thick.

Far from wondering what to blog, it is what NOT to blog! And nuclear war is a top concern of mine and the amazing mess around this (and Able Danger!) just puts me back in my seat! Amazing.

And will write about it. Must think through some stuff cause I know a LOT about the nuclear stuff.

12:58 am  
Blogger E.Wurzel said...

Wasn't Merlin the code-word for the alleged source that enabled Gerald the Mole to pass on info to the Russians in "Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy"?

9:43 am  
Anonymous kiwi said...

The depths of degradation these lice will sink to is limitless. They put millions of lives at risk without giving it a second thought. To call them scum is being too generous toward them.

1:27 pm  
Anonymous Rex said...

I never did read or watch 'Tinker, Tailor, Solidier, Spy'.

What was the outcome of 'that' Merlin's doings, Alan?

2:06 pm  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I came from the BBC site via your Charles Kennedy comment & link. I'm glad I did. You have a marvelous blog here. I'll certainly be back. Frankness is difficult to find in the UK [the US too I suppose] nowadays.

10:29 pm  
Anonymous graniab said...

Somebody has some 'splaining' to do!

11:50 pm  
Anonymous independent said...

has everyone realised who was usa president in 1999, when blueprints were given by cia to iran? not bush!

12:06 am  
Blogger Wisewebwoman said...

Richard:
You may be interested in promoting this link which calls for an end to war powered by the women of the world.
http://www.codepink4peace.org/
This is going to be huge with women from Iraq signing up in droves.
I too am so scared and feeling so powerless that I am grabbing these straws of hope and sanity.
Blessings your way as always, Richard.
Brigid.

7:07 am  
Blogger markfromireland said...

Not the first time this sort of thing has been done and it's not only the US who've pulled this sort of unbelievably stupid stunt. Nor (amazingly enough) is it those who tried this sort of idiocy who actually get blown up.

Richard do you remember back in October 2005 how 8 British soldiers were killed by bombing? The headline was lurid (subscription link to UK Independent) :

"IRA bombs killed eight British soldiers in Iraq."

The "IRA" bombs in question were in fact command detonated devices using a very sophisticated and unjammable detonator. Unjammable because it didn't use radio signalling. Instead it used a three-way detonator command system consisting of:


1. A command wire.
2. A radio signal and
3. A coded infra-red pulse unit.


This method of issuing the detonation command is an adaptation of a technology supplied by the UK Army's Force Research Unit to the IRA as part of a "sting operation" that went badly wrong. The IRA duly passed on the the technology, which they were researching anyway, to groups in the Middle East, as part of a quid pro quo deal. There is some dispute as to which groups were originally supplied this UK military technology by the IRA. I lean to them having supplied it to Palestinian groups rather than to Hizbollah purely on the basis that that would fit better.

I'll add that according to normally reliable sources that the Irish govternment got wind of this pointed out how it would almost inevitably go wrong and blow up in everyone's faces and begged pleaded with the British Government to get their fucking army intelligence thugs back under control - to no avail of course. Can't have a situation where HMG actually listens to the Paddy's especially not when the Paddy's know what they're talking about now can we?

Continued below as blogger has a link limit:

7:30 am  
Blogger markfromireland said...

Maybe the UK officials thought that the Army was about due to get a Queen's Award to Industry for helping an export drive eh?

Now the interesting thing about all of this is that Bridadier Gordon Kerr who commanded the Force Research Unit now commands the Special Reconnaissance Regiment (SRR) which officially (I can give a link to Hansard if you want it)went operational in Iraq amongst other places on April 6th 2005. You and your readers remember I'm sure that members of this regiment got caught and arrested dressed as locals and carrying an "interesting" selection of technology. The lovely couple had to be rescued by regular British troops who bashed down Basra policestation/jail using armoured vehicles to do the job. I'm sure that the squaddies involved were thrilled that they had to risk their lives to rescue some of what the rest of the British Army refer to as the "Green Slime." There were some very dramatic photos of a squaddy exiting his vehicle at speed because his uniform was on fire - remember that?

What you may have missed is that the UK government now publicly admits that their accusations that Iran was stirring things up in Southern Iraq by inter alia supplying bomb making equipment were unfounded or as I'm not feeling in a particularly good mood to day that those accusations were a pack of lies

Makes you wonder what else the US and UK have been supplying and to whom doesn't it? Did you know that iran has a very sophisticated bio-tech sector and that they recently cloned a sheep? I wonder how they got that far that fast.

8:08 am  
Blogger markfromireland said...

PS: If you look at your logs and see that I was on to your site for a few hours nothing it's nothing sinister more sinister than middle-aged forgetfulness enchanced by my my new prescription - I forgot to logoff last night before I went to bed.

8:11 am  
Blogger markfromireland said...

PPS:

MOre links to get around blogger's link limit:

Link to the report on what the green slime were carrying and the smash and grab raid.

And a reminder that the SRR have been active in London and were involved in the shooting of Shooting of Jean Charles de Menezes who was of course as part of SOP vilified before being cleared.

8:23 am  
Blogger Gothamimage said...

Richard.

This is something that you can't really hand on Bush, since it began before him, but it does dovetail with those old allegation by Lubbers in the Netherlands that he was told to leave AQ Kahn alone, when he could have been arrested (and would have prevented his proliferation) because we wanted to watch him. That was much earlier - it sounds like it was a sting of sorts - since Kahn would supply the Iranians with what the don't have and once the Iranian got from spies what they could not build, that would provide the pretext to go after them. It's one of those odd, counter-intuitive stories that you hear about - where they try to support the worst ( do you suspect that crazy Iranian PM might be getting some help, whether he knows it or not, from, the UK or the US>)

9:08 pm  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

From the Dailey Times:
Monday, November 07, 2005

Pakistan ‘needed an atomic bomb’

AMSTERDAM: A Dutch businessman accused of improperly shipping sensitive nuclear technology to Pakistan believed the Islamic country “needed an atomic bomb” to preserve the balance of power in Asia, he said in an interview published on Sunday.

Henk Slebos (62) is accused of shipping dual-use technology to Abdul Qadeer Khan. Lawyers for Slebos have argued he did nothing wrong and in the past he has declined to speak to reporters.

The Dutch television programme Zembla published excerpts from the interview on its web site Sunday. In the interview, Slebos said he was “still best friends” with Khan, who was granted a presidential pardon in Pakistan.

“I don’t recognise the hegemony of the Western world,” Zembla quoted Slebos saying. “Pakistan needed an atom bomb for stability. If you then say the country is too stupid to have the bomb, then you really make me angry.”

Slebos is charged with making five improper shipments between 1999 and 2002. Prosecutors said he shipped unlicensed equipment, including a barometer, O-rings, ball-bearings, 104 pieces of graphite and 20 kilograms (45 pounds) of triethanolamine - an industrial chemical that can be used in refining uranium. Dutch prosecutors demanded an 18-month sentence at the close of his trial Friday, with a verdict due in two weeks.

Khan studied at Delft University in 1967 and then worked for a Dutch-based European nuclear research lab until 1976, where he stole secrets which later became the heart of Pakistan’s nuclear weapons programme. He returned several times in the 1980s seeking equipment.

Slebos, who knew Khan from Delft, was convicted of sending high-tech equipment to Khan’s laboratories in 1985 and sentenced to a year in prison. But the sentence was reduced on appeal and he was never jailed.

In the interview, Slebos said that Khan was visited several times by Dutch intelligence agents who presumably knew what he was doing but failed to act.

Slebos’ remarks echo those of former Netherlands’ Prime Minister Ruud Lubbers, who said earlier this year that the CIA had urged the Dutch government not to arrest Khan in order to better study his movements.

The CIA and Pakistan’s intelligence service were covert allies in the 1980s against the Soviet occupation of Afghanistan, and were careful to preserve good relations between the two countries. India was a military client of the Soviet Union throughout the Cold War. ap

9:25 pm  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I think this 'Iran is now further along the Nuclear Bomb path than we thought' story has been released to 'up the ante' on the strike/action on Iran before 23 March 2006 (the stated opening date of the Iranian Oil Bourse - see http://www.energybulletin.net/7707.html for essential details).

The 'previous' report on Iran's nuclear weapons 'status' was reported on in the Washington Post in August 2005:
The Washington Post reported [1] that the most recent National Intelligence Estimate (NIE) of Iran’s nuclear program revealed that, “Iran is about a decade away from manufacturing the key ingredient for a nuclear weapon, roughly doubling the previous estimate of five years.
[1] Dafina Linzer, “Iran Is Judged 10 Years From Nuclear Bomb U.S. Intelligence Review Contrasts With Administration Statements,” Washington Post, August 2, 2005; Page A01.


Watch how the Mainstream Media will shape the 'Iran Nuke' (or is that Nuke Iran') story to publicaly sanction whatever military action is in store to prevent the threat to the Oil Dollar hegemony, exactly as was done with Iraq's WMD & the '45 minute' claim (in the UK at least).
Iraq (in Sept. 2000) tried to ditch the oil dollar too - see http://www.ratical.org/ratville/CAH/RRiraqWar.html

Watch out also for another '9/11'/'Pearl Harbour' to frighten the public & get opinion behind the action planned. e.g. It's the only solution folks, look, the Iranians have set off a mini-nuke against our forces in Iraq!!

9:51 pm  
Blogger Gothamimage said...

Richard, incidentalcoolcatally, as our fictional Bush might say, we have another episode posted. You may laugh, or not. We'll see.

11:17 pm  
Blogger Richard said...

Phew.

I take some time off again, and look at what I miss. However, I can blame blogger to a certain extent as the system for alerting me by email that a new comment has been made - is NOT working. Any other bloggers may like to check this out btw, as they may not be aware that comments are 'piling up' on their sites.

However, all that now being said, thanks to all concerned for the latest lot of comments/links/reminders etc. They really are appreciated - please keep them coming. As I've said before, I DO get round to reading them all - eventually.

Right now, I'm pulling the 'old-age' excuse again - heh. Seriously though, I've not been 100% since Christmas - but am now feeling almost human again. And should be back in the business of blogging within the next 24 hours - so please stay tuned.

Once again, thanks to you all.

(Btw, before I realised the comment/email alerts were kaput - I thought everything had gone very quiet because this post proved that absolutely everything can't be laid at Bushco's door .... most politicians of all coloured rosettes being what they are ...... bloody politicians.)

11:35 pm  
Blogger markfromireland said...

Hey Richard - I've a blogposting up that you might find interesting. (The blog is subsidiary to my main site sort of an overlow or annex)

5:19 pm  
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12:11 am  

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